Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 9.283002e-05 0.000110 0.000129 0.000150 0.000173 0.000197 0.000226
2024-12-29 6.975870e-05 0.000092 0.000118 0.000149 0.000185 0.000225 0.000273
2025-01-05 5.747523e-05 0.000082 0.000112 0.000149 0.000193 0.000244 0.000306
2025-01-12 4.446844e-05 0.000070 0.000101 0.000143 0.000194 0.000254 0.000329
2025-01-19 3.789913e-05 0.000064 0.000098 0.000143 0.000202 0.000271 0.000359
2025-01-26 2.932341e-05 0.000054 0.000088 0.000136 0.000199 0.000276 0.000374
2025-02-02 2.560336e-05 0.000051 0.000087 0.000139 0.000208 0.000293 0.000405
2025-02-09 2.147056e-05 0.000046 0.000083 0.000138 0.000212 0.000306 0.000430
2025-02-16 1.943031e-05 0.000045 0.000083 0.000142 0.000223 0.000327 0.000465
2025-02-23 1.692319e-05 0.000042 0.000082 0.000144 0.000230 0.000343 0.000493
2025-03-02 1.320668e-05 0.000036 0.000075 0.000138 0.000227 0.000345 0.000504
2025-03-09 1.040199e-05 0.000032 0.000070 0.000133 0.000226 0.000349 0.000518
2025-03-16 8.168728e-06 0.000029 0.000067 0.000132 0.000230 0.000362 0.000546
2025-03-23 6.587312e-06 0.000026 0.000065 0.000134 0.000238 0.000381 0.000581
2025-03-30 5.007829e-06 0.000023 0.000062 0.000132 0.000241 0.000393 0.000608
2025-04-06 3.417037e-06 0.000020 0.000057 0.000127 0.000239 0.000398 0.000624
2025-04-13 2.603303e-06 0.000018 0.000055 0.000127 0.000245 0.000413 0.000655
2025-04-20 1.568754e-06 0.000015 0.000050 0.000121 0.000240 0.000413 0.000666
2025-04-27 1.195266e-06 0.000014 0.000049 0.000123 0.000248 0.000431 0.000700
2025-05-04 8.081891e-07 0.000012 0.000047 0.000122 0.000252 0.000444 0.000728
2025-05-11 6.488790e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000126 0.000263 0.000467 0.000769
2025-05-18 4.565068e-07 0.000011 0.000047 0.000128 0.000270 0.000484 0.000804
2025-05-25 1.994530e-07 0.000009 0.000043 0.000122 0.000266 0.000484 0.000813